Analisis Kestabilan Lokal Model Transmisi Demam Berdarah Dengue

Authors

  • Arista Fitri Diana Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang https://orcid.org/0009-0003-2266-1539
  • Muhammad Ibnu Hajar Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang
  • Zakaria Bani Ikhtiyar Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang
  • Lathifatul Aulia Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21580/square.2024.6.1.21018

Abstract

Dengue fever transmission in Indonesia has an advanced amount. In this article, dynamic model of interaction between human and Aedes aegypti mosquitos is learned. The SEIRRD (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Recovered, Deceased) model is used in this article. The prurpose in this model is to describe the stability of dengue transmission, so that we can analyze the developed of epidemic model in mathemtic field. Using NGM method to analyze basic reproduction number and applying Routh-Hurwitz criteria method to show the local stability of model. Then, two equilibrium points, called endemic and non-endemic equilibrium points, are obtained. The result of basic reproduction number is described the stability analysis. If basic reproduction number less then one, the endemic equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable and otherwise. Local stability analysis at the equilibrium point is determined through parameter analysis. Furthermore, numerical simulations are carried out by fitting the data to obtaine the result of the parameters. The results of numerical simulations explaine the spread of dengue transmission

 

Keywords: Dynamic Model, Epidemic Model, Equilibrium Point, Local Stability, Routh Hurwitz

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Author Biography

Arista Fitri Diana, Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang

Fakultas Sains dan Teknoogi

References

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Published

2024-04-30

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