Model Kontrol Pada Ekosistem Perkebunan Teh

Authors

  • Arista Fitri Diana Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0003-2266-1539
  • Gilang Romadan Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang, Indonesia
  • Mia Siti Khumaeroh Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung, Indonesia
  • Lathifatul Aulia Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang, Indonesia
  • Zakaria Bani Iktiyar Institut Teknologi Statistika dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Semarang, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21580/square.2024.6.2.23274

Abstract

Tea plants are one of the commodities in Indonesia. In their development, the plantation ecosystem is heavily influenced by several factors, both internal and external factors. In the field of applied mathematics, mathematical modelling can be used to analyze the development of tea plant growth and their interaction each othe in their ecosystem. The mathematical model in this research is combining three main models, there are logistic model, epidemiological model, and predator prey model by adding fungicide and insecticide controls. Furthermore, local stability analysis is carried out and the optimal control problem is solved by Pontryagin maximum principle. The results of the analysis obtained five equilibrium points. Local stability analysis was carried out using the Routh Hurwitz criteria which showed the fifth equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable. The basic reproduction number in the model is 0,99. Because  it can be concludeed that there is no spread of disease in the tea plantation ecosystem after a period of 5 years. The control provided can reduce pest and disease attacks. After being given control, the population of infected tea plants decreased by 93,21%, Empoasca pests decreased by 99,47%, and leaf roller caterpillars decreased by 99,31% compared to the model that was not given control.

Keywords: Tea Plantation, Dynamical Model, Fungicide, Insecticide, Optimal Control.

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Published

2024-10-30

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