What Drives Corporate Sukuk Issuance? Firm-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants in Indonesia's Sukuk Market
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21580/economica.2026.17.1.30281Keywords:
ARDL, Corporate Sukuk, Indonesia, Macroeconomic Factors, Panel RegressionAbstract
There has been increasing adoption of sukuk for raising Shariah-compliant funds in Indonesia; however, there is a dearth of research concerning the role of macroeconomic factors and firm attributes in the determination of sukuk issuances by Indonesian corporations. This study explores the impact of macroeconomic and firm-specific factors in the determination of corporate sukuk issuance in Indonesia from 2018 to 2025. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables in the short and long run, as well as panel regression to analyse the impact of firm-specific variables. According to the ARDL findings, changes in the Bank Indonesia (BI) policy rate, inflation and Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) in the short-run significantly impact sukuk issuance, but their long-run impact, along with exchange rate, does not have any statistically significant effect on the same. Firmspecific factors, such as sukuk maturity period, profitability (ROA), leverage and firm size, significantly influence the issuance decision. The higher the maturity period of sukuk, profitability and firm size, the more would be sukuk issuance; whereas higher leverage hinders sukuk issuance. This study contributes to enhancing the Islamic finance body of knowledge by analyzing macroeconomic and firm-level determinants together in a single model, and offers implications for improving the corporate sukuk market of Indonesia.
Downloads
References
Abdullah, M. S., & Keshminder, J. S. (2022). What drives green sukuk ? A leader’s perspective. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 12(3), 985–1005. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2020.1821339
Abdurrahman, K. K., Arraafi, M. I., & Azis, W. D. I. (2024). Analisis Penerbitan Sukuk di Indonesia. Jurnal Agama Dan Sosial Humaniora (JASH), 1(2), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.15575/jash.v1i2.891
Ade, A. I. S., Sucipto, S., & Nofriza, E. (2023). Pengaruh Penerbitan Sukuk Ijarah Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Profitabilitas ( Perusahaan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2017-2020). Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi, 3(3), 251–259. https://doi.org/10.55606/jurimea.v3i3.271
Aisyah, M., Soemitra, A., & Tambunan, K. (2024). Pengaruh Tingkat Inflasi, Tingkat Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar Rupiah (USD), dan Indeks Produksi Industri Terhadap Pertumbuhan Sukuk Korporasi di Indonesia. Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance, 2(2), 58–79. https://doi.org/10.59841/jureksi.v2i2.1108
Alhammadi, S., Archer, S., & Aloumi, D. (2026). Sukuk structure and risk exposures: evidence from an originator perspective. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 17(7), 1619–1633. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-10-2023-0343
Ali, Q., Rusgianto, S., Parveen, S., Yaacob, H., & Zin, R. M. (2023). An empirical study of the effects of green Sukuk spur on economic growth, social development, and financial performance in Indonesia. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(8), 21097–21123. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03520-6
Amal, A. A. M., Faiz, A., Bintara, M. A., & Sari, R. N. (2024). Peran Sukuk dalam Stabilitas Moneter di Indonesia. Jurnal Nuansa : Publikasi Ilmu Manajemen Dan Ekonomi Syariah, 2(4), 347–359. https://doi.org/10.61132/nuansa.v2i4.1447
Andriza, D. R., Kaban, R. F., & Widjaja, H. S. (2021). The Effect of Corporate Sukuk and Sharia Mutual Funds On Economic Growth In Indonesia. Gorontalo Development Review, 111. https://doi.org/10.32662/golder.v0i0.1740
Apriani, E., Afandi, D. R., Latif, A., & Aprilianti. (2023). Macroeconomic Perspective on the Growth of Corporate Sharia Bonds (Sukuk) in Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori Dan Terapan, 10(4), 352–364. https://doi.org/10.20473/vol10iss20234pp352-364
Araminta, D. V., Qudziyah, Q., & Timur, Y. P. (2022). The Role of Green Sukuk in Realizing the Sustainable Development Goals 2030 Agenda. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Islam (Journal of Islamic Economics and Business), 8(2), 251–266. https://doi.org/10.20473/jebis.v8i2.37531
Arifiansyah, F., Imani, S., & Albar, K. (2021). Analisis Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Rating Sukuk Syariah di Indonesia. JES (Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah), 6(2), 155–171. https://doi.org/10.30736/jesa.v6i2.137
Ashfahany, A. El, Astuti, D. P., & Ma’ruf, A. (2023). Sukuk Issuance in Indonesia: Orientation, Opportunities, and Challenges. Mabsya: Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Syariah, 6(1), 127–148. https://doi.org/10.24090/mabsya.v6i1.8195
Asri, N. H., & Dwi Wulandari. (2021). Macroeconomic Variables and Sukuk Outstanding in Indonesia. Open Access Indonesia Journal of Social Sciences, 4(6), 561–570. https://doi.org/10.37275/oaijss.v4i6.101
Baita, A. J., Malami, H. U., & Al-Faryan, M. A. S. (2023). Fiscal policy and sukuk market development in OIC countries. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 14(8), 1216–1231. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-06-2022-0159
Basyariah, N., Kusuma, H., & Qizam, I. (2021). Determinants of Sukuk Market Development: Macroeconomic Stability and Institutional Approach. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 8(2), 201–211. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2021.vol8.no2.0201
Cupian, C., Muasia, R., & Putri, S. A. (2020). The Influence of Macroeconomics Indicators to The Growth of Sukuk in Indonesia. Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 8(1), 167. https://doi.org/10.21043/equilibrium.v8i1.5293
Diana, D. (2022). Pengaruh Faktor Makroekonomi terhadap Nilai Outstanding Sukuk Korporasi di Indonesia Tahun 2016-2021. Manfaah: Journal of Islamic Business and Management, 2(01). https://doi.org/10.30993/manfaah.v2i01.386
Farikhi, A., Utomo, C., & Ismal, R. (2025). Project-based Sukuk issuance for sustainable toll road refinancing in Indonesia: A confirmatory factor analysis. Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology, 9(3), 243–257. https://doi.org/10.55214/25768484.v9i3.5185
Foglie, A. D., & Keshminder, J. S. (2024). Challenges and opportunities of SRI sukuk toward financial system sustainability: a bibliometric and systematic literature review. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 19(10), 3202–3225. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOEM-04-2022-0601
FSA. (2026). Sukuk Statistics. Financial Services Authority.
Hamouda, K., & Bouhssane, L. (2025). The Role of Green Islamic Sukuk in Achieving Environmental Sustainability in Indonesia: Reality, Challenges, and Future Prospects. Science, Education and Innovations in the Context of Modern Problems, 8(3), 734–750. https://doi.org/10.56334/sei/8.3.45
Handayani, M., Ramadhan, R., & Farlian, T. (2024). Implications of the Influence Corporate Financial Performance on Sukuk Ijarah in the Development of Indonesian Sharia Finance. Sebatik, 28(2). https://doi.org/10.46984/sebatik.v28i2.2489
Hariz, F., Mezghani, T., & Abbes, M. B. (2025). Modeling dependence structure between green sukuk spread in Malaysia and the uncertainty factors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 16(5), 950–975. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-10-2022-0285
Hashim, M. A., & Amram, N. R. (2025). External Determinants of Global Sukuk Issuance: A Comprehensive Literature Review. International Journal of Innovation and Industrial Revolution, 7(20), 135–156. https://doi.org/10.35631/IJIREV.720008
Huda, M., Rofiqo, A., Razak, A. B. A., & Nabila, F. (2024). The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on the Profitability of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia. Islamic Economics Journal, 10(2), 135–149. https://doi.org/10.21111/iej.v10i2.11759
Keshminder, J. S., Abdullah, M. S., & Mardi, M. (2022). Green sukuk – Malaysia surviving the bumpy road: performance, challenges and reconciled issuance framework. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 14(1), 76–94. https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-04-2021-0049
Lee, E., Kim, J. Y., & Lee, Y. (2025). A comparative analysis of green sukuk and green bonds. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 18(6), 1353–1373. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-12-2024-0609
Lubis, S., & Windiana, W. (2024). Synergy of Green Finance and Maqasid Sharia: A Study of the Development of Green Sukuk in Indonesia. Khatulistiwa, 14(2), 147–162. https://doi.org/10.24260/khatulistiwa.v14i2.2382
Mahomed, Z., & Mahbot, A. (2024). Sustainable and responsible investment (SRI) Sukuk: lessons from Khazanah’s Sukuk Ihsan. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 17(6), 1065–1081. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMEFM-05-2024-0219
Mardiyah, S., Zahrah, A., Syaipudin, M., Hasda, M., & Sudirman, W. F. R. (2024). Comparative Analysis of The Benefits of Sukuk and Bonds in Indonesia. Journal of Financial and Business, 1(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.69693/jfb.v1i1.13
Mawaddah, I. (2023). Determinant of Sukuk Issuance in Indonesia From Information Asymmetry Perspective (2013-2022). Journal of Economics and Business UBS, 12(4), 2316–2327. https://doi.org/10.52644/joeb.v12i4.431
Musnawati, M. (2023). Analisis Penerapan Akad Surat Berharga Syariah terhadap Penerbitan Sukuk Korporasi melalui Penawaran Umum pada Pasar Modal Syariah. At-Tajdid : Journal of Islamic Studies, 3(1), 17. https://doi.org/10.24014/at-tajdid.v3i1.21785
Mutia, E., & Ishak, M. (2024). The Impact of Profit Rate, Sharia Committee, Leverage, Profit Growth, Cash Flow, and BI Rate on the Issuance of Sukuk Types in Indonesia. 2024 International Conference on Sustainable Islamic Business and Finance (SIBF), 226–231. https://doi.org/10.1109/SIBF63788.2024.10883853
Nabila, J. (2024). Peran Dan Perkembangan Green Sukuk Pada Pembangunan Infrastruktur Di Indonesia. AKRUAL : Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 6(1), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.34005/akrual.v6i1.4155
Naifar, N., Tiwari, A. K., & Alhashim, M. (2022). How COVID‐19 pandemic, global risk factors, and oil prices affect Islamic bonds (Sukuk) prices? New insights from time‐frequency analysis. Review of Financial Economics, 40(3), 312–331. https://doi.org/10.1002/rfe.1158
Nurlaila, M. S., & Wiguna, A. B. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Penerbitan Sukuk Korporasi Di Indonesia. Islamic Economics and Finance in Focus, 3(1), 175–189. https://doi.org/10.21776/ieff.2024.03.01.13
OJK. (2025). The Development of Cooperative Sukuk through Public Offerings.
Osanmaz, M. N., Ekşi, I. H., & Altemur, N. (2025). The Impact of Sukuk Issuance on Stock Prices: New Insights from the Jakarta Stock Exchange. International Student Conference on Business, Education, Economics, Accounting, and Management (ISC-BEAM), 3(1), 1608–1619. https://doi.org/10.21009/ISC-BEAM.013.123
Pimada, L. M., & Miranti, T. (2024). Sukuk and Inflation Dynamics in Indonesia: A Time Series Linear Model Investigation. Indonesian Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance, 4(1), 147–160. https://doi.org/10.37680/ijief.v4i1.5716
Pratama, M. D., & Pimada, L. M. (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Sukuk Korporasi Di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2021. Islamic Economics and Finance in Focus, 1(3), 199–211. https://doi.org/10.21776/ieff.2022.01.3.02
Rakhmadita, A., Tamara, D. A. D., & Barnas, B. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, dan BI Rate terhadap Volume Pertumbuhan Emisi Sukuk Korporasi di Indonesia. Journal of Applied Islamic Economics and Finance, 1(3), 632–640. https://doi.org/10.35313/jaief.v1i3.2605
Riaz, T., Selamat, A. I., Nor, N. M., & Hassan, A. F. S. (2024). Do Investors Get Benefits From Corporate Green Sukuk Issuance. Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, 10(3), 445–470. https://doi.org/10.21098/jimf.v10i3.1944
Rizwana, Z. A., Adillah, M., Anggrayni, V., Rosalia, T., Alfandito, M. Z., & Purwanto, E. (2025). The economic impact of fintech adaptation on sustainable banking performance: The role of green finance and innovation in Indonesia. Journal of Economics Research and Policy Studies, 5(1), 37–59. https://doi.org/10.53088/jerps.v5i1.1454
Rubianto, A. V., & Chou, S.-C. (2020, April). The Determinants of Sukuk Issuance on Indonesian Public Companies from 2007–2016. Proceedings of the 1st Annual Management, Business and Economic Conference (AMBEC 2019). https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200415.027
Sadallah, A. A. (2025). Determinants of Sukuk Issuance: An Empirical Analysis of Financial Market and Governance Indicators in Emerging Economies. In SSRN Electronic Journal (Vol. 09, Issue 01). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5161129
Saharudin, S. I. A., & Bakar, N. A. (2024). Regulatory Frameworks, Product Development and Market Penetration: A Comparative Study of Islamic Finance in Malaysia and Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 14(4). https://doi.org/10.6007/IJARAFMS/v14-i4/23175
Setiawan, R. A., & Suwandaru, A. (2024). Risk of Islamic securities (SUKUK) and a proposed reforms for development: the Indonesian experience. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2024.2337359
Suriani, S., Abd. Majid, M. S., Masbar, R., A. Wahid, N., & Ismail, A. G. (2021). Sukuk and monetary policy transmission in Indonesia: the role of asset price and exchange rate channels. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 12(7), 1015–1035. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-09-2019-0177
Utami, D. E., & Irawati, Z. (2021). The Role of the Financial and Macroeconomy Industry on the Development of the Sukuk (Sharia Compliant Bonds) Market: The Case of Indonesia. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 10(4), 225. https://doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2021-0112
Utami, D. E., & Nurrohman, Y. (2025). Development of the Sukuk Market in Indonesia during the Era of President Jokowi’s Administration: A Study of the Role of the Financial Market and Macroeconomics in Indonesia. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 14(2), 185. https://doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2025-0039
Wahyudi, I., Zahra, E. O. F. A., & Qaddoura, M. Z. M. (2025). The Evolution And Impact Of Sukuk In Indonesia: A Systematic Literature Review And Future Research Agenda. International Student Conference on Business, Education, Economics, Accounting, and Management (ISC-BEAM), 3(1), 2085–2095. https://doi.org/10.21009/ISC-BEAM.013.155
Yusrifalda, A., & Nurcahyo, B. (2025). Exploring the chances and challenges of green sukuk in Indonesia: TOWS method analysis. Journal of Law, Administration, and Social Science, 5(1), 68–76. https://doi.org/10.54957/jolas.v5i1.1202
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Economica: Jurnal Ekonomi Islam

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), acknowledging its initial publication in this journal.
Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) before and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges and earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).







